Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.019101 0.020603 0.022167 0.023917 0.025823 0.027837 0.030129
2025-11-02 0.016611 0.018766 0.021128 0.023912 0.027113 0.030683 0.034980
2025-11-09 0.014723 0.017208 0.020035 0.023500 0.027646 0.032468 0.038525
2025-11-16 0.013307 0.015982 0.019118 0.023084 0.027991 0.033892 0.041576
2025-11-23 0.012344 0.015175 0.018582 0.023010 0.028648 0.035635 0.045022
2025-11-30 0.011494 0.014422 0.018027 0.022826 0.029095 0.037072 0.048097
2025-12-07 0.010794 0.013796 0.017569 0.022702 0.029566 0.038516 0.051213
2025-12-14 0.010159 0.013203 0.017103 0.022514 0.029907 0.039767 0.054099
2025-12-21 0.009689 0.012792 0.016839 0.022562 0.030542 0.041415 0.057592
2025-12-28 0.009203 0.012329 0.016472 0.022433 0.030905 0.042681 0.060589
2026-01-04 0.008800 0.011951 0.016194 0.022401 0.031383 0.044112 0.063880
2026-01-11 0.008463 0.011646 0.015994 0.022459 0.031979 0.045722 0.067506
2026-01-18 0.008096 0.011294 0.015731 0.022439 0.032498 0.047307 0.071294
2026-01-25 0.007751 0.010957 0.015474 0.022414 0.033012 0.048918 0.075241
2026-02-01 0.007327 0.010484 0.014994 0.022027 0.032946 0.049628 0.077787
2026-02-08 0.006938 0.010041 0.014533 0.021640 0.032848 0.050267 0.080237
2026-02-15 0.006664 0.009757 0.014292 0.021571 0.033235 0.051680 0.084038
2026-02-22 0.006384 0.009448 0.013998 0.021400 0.033443 0.052802 0.087401
2026-03-01 0.006137 0.009178 0.013749 0.021285 0.033727 0.054055 0.091056
2026-03-08 0.005891 0.008900 0.013474 0.021110 0.033898 0.055116 0.094426
2026-03-15 0.005713 0.008718 0.013339 0.021154 0.034431 0.056812 0.099029
2026-03-22 0.005509 0.008486 0.013114 0.021034 0.034675 0.058013 0.102794
2026-03-29 0.005336 0.008296 0.012948 0.021004 0.035067 0.059488 0.107152